Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000756 0.000864 0.000978 0.001108 0.001251 0.001403 0.001577
2025-01-19 0.000573 0.000719 0.000886 0.001087 0.001322 0.001588 0.001907
2025-01-26 0.000496 0.000663 0.000861 0.001110 0.001413 0.001764 0.002201
2025-02-02 0.000435 0.000615 0.000838 0.001129 0.001492 0.001928 0.002481
2025-02-09 0.000373 0.000556 0.000792 0.001110 0.001520 0.002022 0.002676
2025-02-16 0.000320 0.000504 0.000748 0.001088 0.001537 0.002101 0.002849
2025-02-23 0.000289 0.000476 0.000733 0.001100 0.001597 0.002232 0.003089
2025-03-02 0.000261 0.000449 0.000717 0.001108 0.001648 0.002351 0.003315
2025-03-09 0.000225 0.000408 0.000675 0.001077 0.001645 0.002398 0.003447
2025-03-16 0.000195 0.000370 0.000636 0.001046 0.001639 0.002438 0.003567
2025-03-23 0.000175 0.000348 0.000618 0.001044 0.001671 0.002529 0.003757
2025-03-30 0.000158 0.000329 0.000602 0.001043 0.001704 0.002621 0.003949
2025-04-06 0.000140 0.000305 0.000579 0.001031 0.001720 0.002691 0.004115
2025-04-13 0.000122 0.000281 0.000552 0.001010 0.001724 0.002743 0.004257
2025-04-20 0.000114 0.000273 0.000552 0.001033 0.001790 0.002886 0.004527
2025-04-27 0.000106 0.000265 0.000550 0.001050 0.001850 0.003020 0.004787
2025-05-04 0.000094 0.000246 0.000527 0.001032 0.001855 0.003073 0.004933
2025-05-11 0.000082 0.000227 0.000503 0.001011 0.001852 0.003114 0.005062
2025-05-18 0.000076 0.000219 0.000499 0.001023 0.001902 0.003234 0.005306
2025-05-25 0.000070 0.000210 0.000493 0.001030 0.001944 0.003342 0.005535
2025-06-01 0.000060 0.000192 0.000467 0.001001 0.001926 0.003359 0.005629
2025-06-08 0.000052 0.000175 0.000441 0.000972 0.001905 0.003371 0.005714
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000166 0.000431 0.000970 0.001930 0.003452 0.005905